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      <title>Politics</title>
      <link>http://www.sfbg.com/blogs/politics/</link>
      <description>The Politics Blog of the San Francisco Bay Guardian</description>
      <language>en</language>
      <copyright>Copyright 2009</copyright>
      <lastBuildDate>Thu, 02 Jul 2009 18:12:42 -0800</lastBuildDate>
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         <title>Fishing for sympathy</title>
         <description><![CDATA[<p><em>By Rebecca Bowe</em></p>

<p>The saga of one of the biggest development battles in San Francisco took an unexpected turn today when Gap, Inc. founder and billionaire Don Fisher announced that he would back off from his plans for a private art museum in the Presidio. The proposed 100,000 square foot museum sparked widespread public outrage, with critics charging that it was an inappropriate location that <a href="http://www.sfbg.com/entry.php?entry_id=4278&catid=4&volume_id=254&issue_id=310&volume_num=41&issue_num=46">wouldn’t jive</a> with the surroundings.  </p>

<p>The <em>Chronicle</em> broke the story this morning, quoting Fisher as saying:</p>

<blockquote>"Doris and I will take some time to consider the future of our collection and other possible locations for a museum, which could include other sites within the Presidio and elsewhere," Don Fisher said, referring to his wife in a statement released to The Chronicle late Wednesday that also said the decision was made "with disappointment and sadness."</blockquote>

<p>It must be tough, being a billionaire with a world-class art collection who can’t even build his very own private museum on an historic piece of public land without getting shouted down. Poor guy. </p>

<p>But as Fisher comes to grips with his "disappointment and sadness," <a href="http://www.sfbg.com/entry.php?entry_id=8341&catid=4">museum opponents</a> now have a cause for celebration. <br />
</p>]]></description>
         <link>http://www.sfbg.com/blogs/politics/2009/07/fishing_for_sympathy.html</link>
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         <pubDate>Thu, 02 Jul 2009 18:12:42 -0800</pubDate>
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         <title>Your happy Pride gay-bashing roundup</title>
         <description><![CDATA[<p><em>By Marke B.</em></p>

<p><img alt="joeholladay0609.jpg" src="http://www.sfbg.com/blogs/politics/joeholladay0609.jpg" width="405" height="444" /><br />
<strong>Joe Holladay, beaten June 29, in New York. Image via <a href="http://www.towleroad.com" target="blank_">Towleroad</a> </strong></p>

<p>Well, I guess it wouldn't be the 40th anniversary of Stonewall if a few "fagits" (sic) didn't get their heads bashed for daring to be all gay about it, right? Some sad reports coming in on the tinsel-footed heels of this week's celebrations (see below). My thoughts -- beyond the usual initial rage and helplessness -- are that, just like right-wing wingnuts with liberals, the idiot perpetrators are coming out of the woordwork because they feel threatened by our continued uptick in acceptance, visibility, and flair. Plus they're probs hella gay. </p>

<p>So of course we have to keep the burners on high and continue the fight (but always keep your eyes open and your heels short). Another thought is that a lot of the commenters on some of the blogs breaking these stories are starting to advocate bashing-back violence -- which dismays. By all means we should get riled up by all this and use our anger constructively. But let's pass on the late-'80s testosterone-blind posturing, please. A, it's dated, darling. B, yuck.    </p>

<p><strong>1. Fort Worth, WTF?</strong> Twenty-six-year-old Chad Gibson was put in intensive care with a blood clot in his brain after Fort Worth <a href="http://andrewsullivan.theatlantic.com/the_daily_dish/2009/07/forty-years-after-stonewall.html" target="blank_">cops raided a gay bar</a> (old school!) and roughed up the customers on June 30, for <a href="http://www.dallasnews.com/sharedcontent/dws/dn/localnews/columnists/jfloyd/stories/063009dnmetfloyd.3bddb2c.html" target="blank_">nebulous, yet pretty damning, reasons</a>. (Basically no reasons at all.)</p>

<p><img alt="cellraid0609.jpg" src="http://www.sfbg.com/blogs/politics/cellraid0609.jpg" width="357" height="441" /><br />
<strong>A cell phone capture of Gibson grounded by police at Fort Worth's Rainbow Room</strong></p>

<p>FTW police chief Jeff Halstead actually claimed the gay panic defense. To whit: </p>

<blockquote>"You're touched and advanced in certain ways by people inside the bar, that's offensive," he said. "I'm happy with the restraint used when they were contacted like that."</blockquote>

<p>Appropriate <a href="http://slog.thestranger.com/slog/archives/2009/06/30/fort-worth-police-chief-that-faggot-had-it-coming" target="blank_">hysteria</a> ensued. Then, <a href="http://www.wfaa.com/sharedcontent/dws/wfaa/latestnews/stories/wfaa090629_mo_raid.1e30e494.html" target="blank_">under heat</a>, Halstead kind of freaked out and claimed there would be a full, in-depth <a href="http://joemygod.blogspot.com/2009/07/ft-worth-bar-raid-investigation.html" target="blank_">investigation</a>. Hopefully the touchy, advance-y kind.</p>]]></description>
         <link>http://www.sfbg.com/blogs/politics/2009/07/your_happy_pride_gaybashing_ro_1.html</link>
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         <pubDate>Thu, 02 Jul 2009 14:26:01 -0800</pubDate>
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         <title>Assessing the city budget deal</title>
         <description><![CDATA[<p><em>By Steven T. Jones</em></p>

<p>Progressives aren’t feeling much joy over the <a href="http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?f=/c/a/2009/07/02/BAH818HPEA.DTL&type=newsbayarea">city budget deal</a> that was cut yesterday between Mayor Gavin Newsom and Sups. David Chiu and John Avalos (respectively the board president and chair of the Budget Committee), and that’s not just because it gave the gubernatorial candidate the chance to shamelessly crow, “The contrast is stark, isn't it? In Sacramento, it's a state of emergency. In San Francisco, a budget deal."</p>

<p>It’s true that the deal to restore $43.7 million in Newsom-proposed cuts – more so-called “add-backs” than a Board of Supervisors has ever made to a mayor’s budget -- was a real compromise, not coincidentally about half of what the board’s progressive majority was looking for, and it averted bloody budget standoff that neither side wanted. </p>

<p>But the cuts to progressive priorities are still deep and Newsom’s wasteful pet projects and taxpayer-funded political operation remain intact (Paul Hogarth has a good analysis of the numbers <a href="http://www.beyondchron.org/news/index.php?itemid=7097#more">here</a>). And the whole episode just feels a little like it was scripted by Team Newsom, starting on June 1 when the mayor unveiled his budget and said, “I count on you to add back a lot of the things I don’t want to see cut.”</p>

<p>Of course, that was followed by an <a href="http://www.sfbg.com/entry.php?entry_id=8715&catid=4&volume_id=398&issue_id=436&volume_num=43&issue_num=38">aggressive butting of heads</a>: the police and fire unions <a href="http://www.sfbg.com/blogs/politics/2009/06/the_cops_and_the_carpetbaggers_1.html">slammed</a> the rookie supervisorial leaders <a href="http://www.sfbg.com/entry.php?entry_id=8756&volume_id=398&issue_id=437&volume_num=43&issue_num=39">hard</a>, even running a sound truck through Avalos’ neighborhood calling for his recall, which progressive activists and union leaders responded to with increasingly confrontational tactics, even blocking Newsom’s Pride Parade vehicle with a “<a href="http://www.fogcityjournal.com/wordpress/2009/06/28/lgbt-activists-protest-newsoms-budget-stage-pride-die-in/">die-in</a>.”</p>

<p>Ultimately, the clashes led to a compromise that Avalos described to us as: “It’s as good as we could possibly get.”<br />
</p>]]></description>
         <link>http://www.sfbg.com/blogs/politics/2009/07/assessing_the_city_budget_deal.html</link>
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         <pubDate>Thu, 02 Jul 2009 13:37:09 -0800</pubDate>
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         <title>Grandma says, clean up your shipyard, now!</title>
         <description><![CDATA[<p><em>Text and video by Sarah Phelan</em></p>

<p><object width="425" height="344"><param name="movie" value="http://www.youtube.com/v/0aDlDGptFJY&hl=en&fs=1&"></param><param name="allowFullScreen" value="true"></param><param name="allowscriptaccess" value="always"></param><embed src="http://www.youtube.com/v/0aDlDGptFJY&hl=en&fs=1&" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" allowscriptaccess="always" allowfullscreen="true" width="425" height="344"></embed></object></p>

<p>83 year-old Minerva Dunn demands a total and unrestricted cleanup of Hunters Point Shipyard, not a cap, shortly before police use bull cutters to remove her from <a href="http://www.sfbg.com/blogs/politics/2009/06/shipyard_gets_giant_stop_work_1.html" target="blank_">a giant stop-work order</a> that she and other activists have chained themselves to, in an effort to blockade the former naval station''s main entrance in San Francisco. </p>]]></description>
         <link>http://www.sfbg.com/blogs/politics/2009/07/grandma_says_clean_up_your_shi.html</link>
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         <pubDate>Thu, 02 Jul 2009 12:12:43 -0800</pubDate>
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         <title>Don&apos;t cap it, just clean it!</title>
         <description><![CDATA[<p><em>Text and video by Sarah Phelan</em></p>

<p><object width="425" height="344"><param name="movie" value="http://www.youtube.com/v/4raTf6pSlaU&hl=en&fs=1&"></param><param name="allowFullScreen" value="true"></param><param name="allowscriptaccess" value="always"></param><embed src="http://www.youtube.com/v/4raTf6pSlaU&hl=en&fs=1&" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" allowscriptaccess="always" allowfullscreen="true" width="425" height="344"></embed></object></p>

<p>Protestors chant "Don't cap it, just clean it" after four people chain themselves to a <a href="http://www.sfbg.com/blogs/politics/2009/06/shipyard_gets_giant_stop_work_1.html" target="blank_">giant stop work order</a> at Hunters Point Shipyard, demanding that the Navy remove a radiologically impacted dump at the former naval station. </p>]]></description>
         <link>http://www.sfbg.com/blogs/politics/2009/07/dont_cap_it_just_clean_it_1.html</link>
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         <pubDate>Thu, 02 Jul 2009 12:02:46 -0800</pubDate>
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         <title>The van, it is found</title>
         <description><![CDATA[<p>Since becoming an <a href="http://sfist.com/2009/06/30/blame_it_on_sf_weekly.php" target="blank_"?>almost</a> international <a href="http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/blogs/scavenger/detail?entry_id=42834" target="blank_">incident</a>, the <a href="http://www.sfbg.com/blogs/politics/2009/06/have_you_seen_this_van.html">stolenization</a> of our beloved Guardian van has finally, breathlessly come to an end. It was found by the SFPD this morning on the 100 block of 25th Ave in the Richmond. It was merely stripped of its ignition. </p>

<p><img alt="vanfound0609.jpg" src="http://www.sfbg.com/blogs/politics/vanfound0609.jpg" width="400" height="300" /></p>

<p>Thanks to all who kept an eye out! Now we can go back to delivering fresh brownies to all!</p>

<p><strong>UPDATE:</strong> According the <a href="http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/blogs/scavenger/detail?entry_id=42834" target="blank_">Scavenger blog</a>, a teacher from Corta Madera named Kevin Mahoney phoned in the van's location. Kevin, if you're reading this, please email marke@sfbg.com and claim your fresh brownie! </p>]]></description>
         <link>http://www.sfbg.com/blogs/politics/2009/07/the_van_it_is_found.html</link>
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         <pubDate>Wed, 01 Jul 2009 15:29:40 -0800</pubDate>
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         <title>NYT Mag takes on Cali and The Gav</title>
         <description><![CDATA[<p><em>By Steven T. Jones</em><br />
<img alt="newsom.jpg" src="http://www.sfbg.com/blogs/politics/newsom.jpg" width="190" height="284" /><br />
It’s fitting that the <a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2009/07/05/magazine/05California-t.html?pagewanted=1&_r=1&hp">just-posted New York Times Magazine profile</a> on how colorfully fucked-up California is right now leads with our own Mayor Gavin Newsom, both with his words and image. </p>

<p>The most telling paragraph is the second one, describing Newsom’s initial confusion over an emergency call button on his desk: “Newsom says he has not had occasion to press the button since, although the mayor admits he is tempted to whenever meetings drag on or when reporters ask him annoying questions or when he becomes bored, something that happens easily.”</p>

<p>There are mountains of things to say about all this – from discussing Newsom’s carefully crafted media image to pushing back on the latest East Coast “wow, isn’t California weird” profile – but for now, just give this long piece a read and feel free to discuss. I was already working on another Newsom post for later in the day, and this is just one of many interesting items that have popped up in the last strange week. <br />
</p>]]></description>
         <link>http://www.sfbg.com/blogs/politics/2009/07/nyt_mag_takes_on_cali_and_the.html</link>
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         <pubDate>Wed, 01 Jul 2009 13:35:39 -0800</pubDate>
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         <title>Shipyard gets giant stop work order</title>
         <description><![CDATA[<p><em>Text by Rachel Buhner and Sarah Phelan<br />
Photos by Sarah Phelan</em></p>

<p><br />
<img alt="stoporderpixel30.jpg" src="http://www.sfbg.com/blogs/politics/stoporderpixel30.jpg" width="328" height="246" /><br />
<strong>Protesters block the main entrance to the shipyard with a giant stop work order</strong></p>

<p>A sizeable crowd gathered outside the Hunters Point Naval Shipyard’s main entrance Tuesday to protest Bayview Hunters Point residents and environmental advocates ongoing concerns with Lennar’s plans to develop 770 acres at the shipyard and Candlestick Point--and to blockade the entrance with a giant stop work order.</p>

<p>Sponsored by Greenaction for Health & Environmental Justice, POWER and the San Francisco Green Party, the protest was also attended by Nation of Islam followers, Mothers Against Crime, and even a few young and enthusiastic school children. <br />
<img alt="kidspixels.JPG30%.jpg" src="http://www.sfbg.com/blogs/politics/kidspixels.JPG30%25.jpg" width="328" height="246" /></p>]]></description>
         <link>http://www.sfbg.com/blogs/politics/2009/06/shipyard_gets_giant_stop_work_1.html</link>
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         <pubDate>Tue, 30 Jun 2009 18:35:16 -0800</pubDate>
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         <title>Insuring against asbestos exposure, SF style</title>
         <description><![CDATA[<p><em>Text By Sarah Phelan</em></p>

<p><img alt="asbestosimg4.jpg" src="http://www.sfbg.com/blogs/politics/asbestosimg4.jpg" width="200" height="199" /><br />
Serpentinite rock with veins of naturally occurring asbestos</p>

<p>Henry Alvarez, executive director of the San Francisco Housing Authority, acknowledges that a judge tossed out the unlawful detainer suit that<a href="http://www.sfbg.com/blogs/politics/2009/06/judge_tosses_newsoms_political_payback_suits_against_muhammad_.html"> the SFHA brought against the Nation of Islam’s Center</a> for Self Improvement in the Bayview and its leader Minister Christopher Muhammad.</p>

<p>“But the court left room for us to refile with some guidance,” Alvarez added, claiming that his agency tried to amend its complaints outside the court with Muhammad’s lawyer, Richard Drury, “but we could not reach an amicable solution.”</p>

<p>So, is the SFHA planning to file again, and if so, on what grounds?</p>]]></description>
         <link>http://www.sfbg.com/blogs/politics/2009/06/insuring_against_asbestos_expo.html</link>
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         <pubDate>Tue, 30 Jun 2009 13:26:23 -0800</pubDate>
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         <title>Prison Report: Donte Stallworth and me</title>
         <description><![CDATA[<p>By Just A Guy</p>

<p><em>Editors note: Just A guy is an inmate in a California state prison. You can read his most recent blog, and links to past blogs, <a href="http://www.sfbg.com/blogs/politics/2009/06/prison_report_in_the_hole.html">here</a>. He will try to respond to comments, but communication from prison is often difficult, so be patient.</em></p>

<p>I just read in USA Today about the penalty Cleveland Browns wide receiver Donte Stallworth received for killing someone while driving drunk in Florida: Thirty days in jail, two years of house arrest, eight years probation, and  1,000 hours of community service.</p>

<p>I guess it really does pay to have money! </p>

<p>I know of a man who has been in prison in California for 21 years now on  his 15-to-life sentence. He’s been found suitable for parole three times, and has had the governor deny his parole three times. This is a man who, like Stallworth, had NO criminal record, but wasn’t rich or a football star. </p>

<p>This man has not received one incident report for violating prison rules in 21 years of incarceration, has a wonderful support network, from a good family, and has a job waiting for him.<br />
 <br />
This scenario is just as likely to happen in California as in Florida, where they actually kill people with the death penalty.  <br />
 <br />
What’s going on here? I find it stunning that the disparity of such type of cases is still so apparent, but the enormity of it is .. God, I’m truly at a loss for words.</p>

<p>Oddly,<a href="http://www.sfbg.com/blogs/politics/2009/06/prison_report_in_the_hole.html"> I’m sitting here in the hole</a>, 33 months in to a 48 month sentence for possession of a controlled substance. I wasn’t allowed into Prop. 36 (the state’s version of a drug program) because when I got arrested I was also charged with driving under the influence, which eliminated my eligibility to enter the treatment program. Some loophole,  eh?</p>

<p>  <br />
</p>]]></description>
         <link>http://www.sfbg.com/blogs/politics/2009/06/prison_report_donte_stallworth_1.html</link>
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         <pubDate>Tue, 30 Jun 2009 12:21:08 -0800</pubDate>
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         <title>Life by the numbers: More bikes = fewer bike collisions</title>
         <description><![CDATA[<p><em>By Rebecca Bowe</em></p>

<p><img alt="bike-signal-light-600.jpg" src="http://www.sfbg.com/blogs/politics/bike-signal-light-600.jpg" width="390" height="260" /></p>

<p>Things were finally beginning to fall into place for Jon Aguon. The 24-year-old college student and avid surfer and skater had completed his summer courses the day before, he’d just signed a lease on a place in the city, and he planned to spend the afternoon at a skate park on Potrero Avenue. He loaded up his skateboard, hopped on his bike, and started making his way there. </p>

<p>The trouble started when a bus stopped ahead of him, blocking the bike lane. In a matter of seconds, Aguon looked over his shoulder, checked for oncoming traffic, and began maneuvering around it. That’s when the Ford Expedition entered the picture.</p>

<p>“I remember the split second before I got hit, the roar of the Expedition motor. I knew exactly what this car was doing: accelerating to pass me,” he says. “Well, it didn’t pass me.”</p>

<p>Aguon says he bounced off the SUV, spun a 540, and then wound up landing on his knee. The shock set in, and he immediately curled into a fetal position. Moments later, he stood shakily. There was a sharp pain in his back, and a large blood spot was forming on his jeans at the kneecap. As he stood there dazed, the driver left his name and number with a nearby cyclist and drove off.</p>

<p>The bike accident occurred almost a year ago, and now Aguon -- who suffered a broken rib, a badly sprained ACL and a bruised and swollen Tibia from the ordeal -- says he’s still at just a fraction of his strength. Since the collision, “I haven’t even tried surfing,” he says. </p>

<p>Getting hit hasn’t kept Aguon from using a bike as his exclusive mode of transportation. But it did inspire him to speak out in favor of the Bike Plan, a comprehensive citywide network of new bike paths and amenities with improved cyclist safety as its centerpiece. “I’m not one of those cyclists who hates cars,” Aguon told us, adding that in fact, he loves to drive. But he believes that with improved bicycle infrastructure, accidents like his could be fewer and farther between.<br />
</p>]]></description>
         <link>http://www.sfbg.com/blogs/politics/2009/06/life_by_the_numbers_more_bikes.html</link>
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         <pubDate>Tue, 30 Jun 2009 11:49:42 -0800</pubDate>
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         <title>Have you seen this van?</title>
         <description><![CDATA[<p><img alt="63009van.jpg" src="http://www.sfbg.com/blogs/politics/63009van.jpg" width="200" height="247" /></p>

<p>Here's how bad the economy is: Somebody broke into the Bay Guardian parking lot last night, rammed through the chain-link fence and drove away with our van.</p>

<p>Kinda crazy -- it's ten years old, it's all beat up -- and it has the Guardian logo all over it and a Best of the Bay mural on the side. Hard to hide.</p>

<p>It's value is probably more sentimental than economic at this point, but we miss it -- after all, we used the van as the cover of our Best of the Bay issue back in 1999, when it was brand new. We commissioned the van-mural, designed by Tim Racer at Racer-Reynolds Illustration and painted by Rich Ayer at Signmakers, and we'd hate to see the artwork chopped up or painted over.</p>

<p>So if you see it, call SFPD burglary at 553-1261. Or call us.  <br />
 </p>]]></description>
         <link>http://www.sfbg.com/blogs/politics/2009/06/have_you_seen_this_van.html</link>
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         <pubDate>Tue, 30 Jun 2009 10:18:55 -0800</pubDate>
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         <title>Renters demand ideas from Newsom</title>
         <description><![CDATA[<p><em>By Megan Rawlins</em></p>

<p><a href="http://www.sfbg.com/blogs/politics/2009/06/board_helps_renters_but_newsom.html">As expected</a>, Mayor Gavin Newsom has promised to veto the renter relief and protection legislation passed by the Board of Supervisors at last week’s meeting. And in response, renters will rally at the steps of City Hall at noon on Tuesday to demand that Newsom offer some alternative if he indeed kills the renters’ package.</p>

<p>The legislation, in descending order of controversy, suspended rent increases that would exceed one-third of a tenant’s income for those who had recently lost a job, had their wages decreased by at least 20 percent, or derived their income solely from government assistance; allowed the addition of a roommate without a resulting rent increase, and amended rent-banking rules to cap rent hikes at 8 percent annually.</p>

<p>Authored by Sup. Chris Daly, the changes are intended to address the precarious position of San Francisco renters, who constitute two-thirds of the city’s population. <br />
</p>]]></description>
         <link>http://www.sfbg.com/blogs/politics/2009/06/renters_demand_ideas_from_news.html</link>
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         <pubDate>Mon, 29 Jun 2009 19:04:04 -0800</pubDate>
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         <title>Protest HIV program cuts</title>
         <description><![CDATA[<p>By C. Nellie Nelson</p>

<p><img alt="629diein.jpg" src="http://www.sfbg.com/blogs/politics/629diein.jpg" width="375" height="178" /><br />
<strong>Pride At Work protests the mayor's budget on Pride day. Photo: Luke Thomas, Fog CIty Journal</strong></p>

<p>Today at 5 pm the LGBT labor group Pride at Work will hold a vigil on the steps of City Hall protesting the mayor’s deep budget cuts to programs that are vital to much of the queer community. The vigil runs until midnight, so you can stop by after work.</p>

<p>As <a href="http://www.fogcityjournal.com/wordpress/2009/06/28/lgbt-activists-protest-newsoms-budget-stage-pride-die-in/" target="blank_">Fog City Journal reports</a>, this is the second major Pride at Work protest over the budget cuts -- the group staged a die-in in front of Mayor Newsom’s car in the Pride Parade. As Newsom attempted to step around the protesters, they let him have an earful on the effects of his budget cuts that slashed funding for the Departments of Public Health and Human Services </p>

<p>“The die-in demonstrated reality. When you cut HIV programs, people will sero-convert. When you cut the drug programs, people will die,” Harvey Milk Club president Rafael Mandelman told the Guardian today. He said the protest indicates that the mayor “can’t ride same-sex marriage forever. We’re grateful for the mayor’s efforts in that area, but we need budgets that will protect vulnerable populations and queers. People’s lives are at stake.” </p>

<p>Despite the passage of Prop. 8, Newsom does indeed seem to still be riding the crest of same sex marriage. In a recent fundraising letter for his gubernatorial campaign, a supporter enthuses: “Mayor Newsom married S-- and I in his office in 2004. He always held our relationship equal to his own… S-- and I will always love him for standing with us and fighting for us.”</p>

<p>But some LGBT leaders are starting to feel that the choices of what departments to cut back are not equal in the least.</p>

<p>Robert Haaland is a labor activist and long time leader of the local chapter of Pride at Work. He told us the budget cuts “are no different from what Schwarzenegger is doing. No new revenue, deep cuts to health and human services. It’d be fine if he was running as a Republican governor.” </p>

<p>Haaland pointed out that when Newsom ran against Supervisor Matt Gonzales in 2003, Newsom was neutral on gay marriage, and Gonzales got the majority of votes in District 8, which includes the Castro.</p>

<p>“He changed his position on marriage, but that doesn’t give him license to use marriage as a shield for budget cuts affecting LGBT and poor people,” Haaland said.</p>

<p>And Mandelman sums up, “It’s great to celebrate marriage, but for a lot of people it’s a luxury.”</p>]]></description>
         <link>http://www.sfbg.com/blogs/politics/2009/06/protest_hiv_program_cuts_tonig_1.html</link>
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         <pubDate>Mon, 29 Jun 2009 16:11:11 -0800</pubDate>
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         <title>Newsom&apos;s poll numbers suck, but ....</title>
         <description><![CDATA[<p><em>By Tim Redmond</em></p>

<p>This is not the kind of information a candidate for governor likes to hear, but<a href="http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?f=/c/a/2009/06/29/BA4E18EMPH.DTL" target="blank_"> the Chron reports today </a>that Attorney General Jerry Brown is way ahead of Newsom among Democrats in the race for California's next governor. Matier and Ross say</p>

<blockquote>The poll by JMM Research of 525 Democratic and decline-to-state voters is the first snapshot since Los Angeles Mayor Antonio Villaraigosa announced last week that he wasn't running.

<p>With Villaraigosa in the lineup, the numbers read:</p>

<p>-- Brown, 33 percent.</p>

<p>-- Newsom, 20 percent.</p>

<p>-- Villaraigosa, 17 percent.</p>

<p>Take the L.A. mayor out, and it's:</p>

<p>-- Brown, 46 percent.</p>

<p>-- Newsom, 26 percent.</p>

<p>Brown does best with the voters over 40, who tend to turn out in bigger numbers on election day. Newsom thrives with the younger crowd, which he hopes to turn out big time, a la Barack Obama.</p>

<p>Geographically, Brown beats Newsom everywhere but the Bay Area.</blockquote></p>

<p>But let's be serious here: These early numbers mean exactly nothing. The race is a year and a half away, and this is nothing but name recognition and vague opinions based on current news media reports. </p>

<p>My take: Newsom's toughest opposition would have been Villaraigosa, and with the L.A. mayor out of the way, he's really the front-runner. Why? Because this is a textbook campaign -- the new against the old, the fresh face against yesterday's news, the guy who has only a very limited (and carefully crafted) record against the guy who has been around a long time and has done enough in his life to piss off both the left and the right.</p>

<p>I'm not a Newsom fan (in case you hadn't noticed) and I've always liked Jerry Brown personally (although he was a horrible mayor of Oakland and is taking <a href="http://www.calitics.com/diary/8290/" target="blank_">some awful positions</a>). The fact that he's in his 70s shouldn't be an issue -- he's healthy, lively, full of energy, and to dis him because of his age is wrong on many, many levels ... but that doesn't mean the Newsom camp won't (subtly) do it, and it doesn't mean it won't work.</p>

<p>I'm talking real, harsh politics here -- and I'm betting that Newsom's team isn't a bit concerned with these poll numbers.</p>]]></description>
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         <pubDate>Mon, 29 Jun 2009 11:04:38 -0800</pubDate>
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