Here's what's going to make the D6 race so interesting as RCV plays out: The second-place votes of all the minor candidates won't be enough to put either Walker or Kim over the top. The final decision about which progressive will be supervisor is going to come down to the second-place votes of a candidate who was seen by progressives as the one to beat: Theresa Sparks. Who were the Sparks voters -- and how will they allote their second-place votes? I don't think anyone knows for sure -- but that's what will determine the next D6 supervisor.
We won't know who the new supervisors are for several more days -- and the near-final reslts show a much closer race in D 8 than I thought a few minutes ago. Scott Wiener is still in the lead, but Rafael Mandelman is within 1,000 votes, and Rebecca Prozan in third has 3,500 votes. The Prozan votes would have to split overwhlemingly for Mandelman, but it's possible.Read more »
We now have 70 percent of the precincts reporting, and some of the supervisor races are still awy, way too close to call. Janet Reilly and political neophyte Mark Farrell are going to finish within a few percentage points -- and Distrct 2 will come down to where the votes for Abraham Simmons, also a neophyte but in third place, wind up. In D 6, Jane Kim is about 600 votes ahead of Debra Walker, with Theresa Sparks well behind them; one of the two progressives will get this seat. Kim is in a strong position, but again: It all depends on the second- and third-place votes. Read more »
The mood was buoyant in Harvey’s bar in the Castro, where D8 supervisorial candidate Scott Wiener had 54 percent of the vote in early returns when he arrived around 9:30 pm. His lead over progressive candidate Rafael Mandelman has narrowed since then (45-33 percent at last count), and that campaign was still hopeful at its party at Pilsner Inn on Church Street. Read more »
District 6 candidate Theresa Sparks showed up fashionably late for her own election night gathering at Don Ramon's Mexican restaurant in the South of Market neighborhood. Election results are still coming in, and she told the crowd, "We'll just watch it together and see what happens." Early results show Jane Kim as the favored candidate in the district so far, but as everyone here seems to be telling one another, "it's going to be a long night."Read more »
Outside of Bloom’s Saloon, there's a silver taco truck with a black and orange Dewitt Lacy sign stuck on the back. “Eat It” by Weird Al is blasting from inside the Saloon and as I timidly follow the noise Lacy himself turns around and gives me a wave.
I instantly feel right at home sipping my ice water while Lacy tells me about his campaign team and their accomplishments. “A lot of us put a lot of hard work into the campaign,” Lacy says.Read more »
Wow, are things changing fast. The newest numbers -- almost 30 percent of the vote -- show D2 very, very tight. I thought janet Reilly would win this one, but it's a squeaker. The D6 race is getting closer too -- Debra Walker is closing in on Jane Kim, but it looks at this point as if a progressive will hold that seat. And in D10, Tony Kelly has taken the lead -- and Steve Moss, the beneficiary of big money, is in third place.
Labor Council executive director Tim Paulson isn't quite ready to give up the ghost on this one, despite a reported 196 Republican seats already won in the House. “We really don't know what the final answers are... some things are going well, some things are going not as well.” Most of labor's most pressing local races – Paulson cited Measure B and the District 6 and District 8 races as examples – have yet to be decided and may possibly not have a confirmed winner until tomorrow. Read more »
Slowly, the SF Department of elections is posting results, and a couple of things are clear: The District 2 race is getting very close, D10 is still anyone's game, and Jane Kim has a sizable lead in D6.
Some things are over: I can say tht prop. B is going down, Prop. L (sit-lie) is going to win, the real-estate transfer tax is going to win -- but the hotel tax is going down.
Okay, I admit it: I thought Californians would come to their senses and vote in large numbers in favor of legalizing pot. And that's how the polls looked -- until Attorney General Eric Holder announced that he would continue to enforce federal law and bust Californians for marijuana offenses. At that point, the voters seemed to collectively sigh and say: Hell with it, if the feds are going to get us anyway, why bother? And that's when the polls began to shiftRead more »
You can put this one in the bank: Brown is the next governor, Boxer remains a senator and Gavin Newsom is going to Sacramento, quite possibly on the coat tails of the man he at one point tried to challenge for the top job. And there's more good news for Dems: Tom Torlakson looks solid for state superintendent of public instruction and Dave Jones is going to be the next insurance commissioner.
The only top Dem who isn't faring well is Kamala Harris, who is lagging in her race against Steve Cooley for attorney general. This is a big one: Cooley wants to defend prop. 8.
After Michael Nava came in first in the June primary and looked as if he might oust sitting judge Rochard Ulmer, the local judiciary and much of the legal establishment came together and began raising a ton of money to try to crush this upstart. And it's had an impact; in the early results, Nava is behind. But it's going to be very close; by the end of the night, the 54-46 margin will get a lost closer. This one's impossible to call.
The absentee votes are in, and it's a very mixed bag. If trends hold, and the absentees represent the most conservative votes, Prop. B is going down -- the result of a very successful labor campaign. Prop. L, the sit-lie law, is solidly ahead. The two hotel tax measures are both losing by about the same percentage, suggesting that the anti-tax group's focus on just Prop. K, which liberals also opposed, was effective. But it's still to early to call those.Read more »
That's based on very early results. But with Boxer's numbers creeping up, and Newsom comfortably ahead, it looks as if San Francisco will be getting a new mayor in January. The very early results have Harris pretty far behind, but those numbers will change. Since the early returns are always conservative, thought, the news for Gav is very good.