Prop. 16 is getting very tight -- PG&E's only up by one point

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Wow, the No on 16 campaign might just pull off a miracle. PG&E's lead is cut to 50.3 to 49.7 as more results come in from Los Angeles, where a once-powerful lead is dwindling. If this trend keeps up -- and I don't know if it will -- PG&E is going to lose. Amazing.

From the Kamala Harris party

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City Attorney Dennis Herrera, and Board President David Chiu, Criminal Justice Podcaster David Onek and other local luminaries floated around the Delancy Street Foundation where, oddly, the booze was free flowing, allegedly thanks to the largesse of Vanessa Getty.Read more »

At the Newsom party

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Gavin Newsom stopped short of declaring victory until the numbers are final, but said he was excited to be a part of a crucial political year in California. "We're very proud to be in a position to be the Democratic nominee and to work with the other Democratic nominees." He lavished praise on Jerry Brown, telling stories about his father's long relationship with the former governor and expressing his admiration. Read more »

DCCC: The progressives are holding their majority

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It came down to the wire, but the progressives appear to have held their majority on the DCCC. I can now count 18 progressives in the money, and while it's still close, unless the election-day absentees are very different from the election-day votes, I think that lead will hold. And that was the result of a remarkable coalition effort. "It's a beautiful thing when we all pull together, Gabriel Haaland just told me. "It was amazing what went into the last few days. We walked 120 precincts."

 

More SF results: Colfax is in, Nava leading, DCCC very, very close

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Linda Colfax is going to win the open judicial seat without a runoff. She's got 52 percent of the vote, and her lead is growing. Michael Nava and Richard ulmer appear headed for a fall runoff. Right now, the progressives have 17 votes on the DCCC, one short of what they need for a majority. Veronese is out, Haaland is in .... and with 70 percent of the votes counted, this may come down to election-day absentees.

The impact of Prop. 14

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Proposition 14 was the sleeper on the ballot; it's only there because Abel Maldonado refused to vote for a state budget unless both parties agreed to put it before the voters. And it's winning. The impact of open primaries could be dramatic; it could hurt progressive candidates, pretty much wipe out third parties and potentially change the shape of the state Legislature. Maldonado likes it because it shifts the balance of power toward "centrists" -- which actually means people who can raise a lot of campaign money. It's going to take a while to sort out the impacts of Prop. Read more »

Nail biters

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Prop. 16 is going to be close. It's wavering back and forth, with PG&E losing votes as Central Valley precincts report, but picking up votes in (gasp) L.A. That one's going to go on a while. So will the San Francisco DCCC race -- right now, some progressive incumbents, like Robert Gabriel Haaland, are missing the cut -- but only very narrowly. Haaland has 5925 votes, and Joe Alioto Veronese has 5980. Eric Quezada, another progressive, has 5462. On such tiny margins does the future of the San Francisco Democratic Party hang.Read more »

From the progressive DCCC party

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Alex Emslie gives this report from the progressive DCCC victory party:

As of 9 p.m., close to 100 people have gathered at the Project 1 art gallery and DJ lounge to celebrate the progressive slate for Democratic County Central Committee.

At this point, candidates are beginning to trickle into the dimly lit gallery, chatting with the crowd over the quiet din from a DJ booth in the back.Read more »

The GOP's Wall Street ticket

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Steven T. Jones reports that the folks at the Newsom victory party aren't just celebrating Gavin's overwhelming win; they're looking forward to the fall. The Republicans have nominated two big-business executives for governor and senate -- and that's not a good political position to be in these days. "I think it's stunningly politically tone deaf to nominate two Wall Street CEOs at the top of the ticket," noted Dan Newman, a Newsom communications advisor.

OMG Jerry Brown ...

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From Calitics:

Jerry Brown speaking now in LA. LA County Sheriff Lee Baca introduced him as the man who "implemented Prop 13." Oh great. This campaign season is gonna suck. Back to the 1970s for Jerry Brown: we need "discipline, humility, live within our means." Brown sounds like he's going to run as the apostle of austerity.

A bit of good news from the East Bay

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It appears at this point as if Victoria Kolakowski, who is leading with 46 percent of the vote, may become the first transgender trial-court judge in the United States.

Some scary stuff

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The results on Prop. 14 -- the open primaries law -- are a bit alarming. This thing's passing with 60 percent of the vote -- and winning every single county that's reported so far. And Prop. 15, the election-reform law, is losing big. I know that open primaries sound appealing (as long as you don't stop to think about it), but why would people vote against a law that creates public financing for just one statewide office, at no cost to the taxpayers? I'm also a little disturbed that Prop. 16 is doing so well in Los Angeles. Read more »

Kamala has won. So has Dave Jones

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Kamala Harris is far ahead in the AG. primary, and we can call that one for her at this point. Chris Kelly spent a lot of money and got nowhere. Dave Jones is going to win the Dem insurance commish nod. The Supt. of Public Instruction is more interesting; Larry Acevas, a retired school superintendent who has the support of the L.A. Times but wasn't much on the political radar in a race involving two high-profile Dems from the state Legislature, is actually in the lead statewide. Read more »

San Francisco results -- the absentees

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The first results are in from San Francisco, and the typically conservative absentee votes include a few surprises. Linda Colfax, a lesbian public defender, is well ahead in the open judicial seat, with 47 percent of the vote. The next closest challenger, Harry Dorfman, has just 33 percent; I think it's safe to say Linda's going to win this one, quite possibly without a November runoff. The other judicial race is much closer -- the incumbent, Richard Ulmer, has 46 percent and Michael Nava 41 percent. Read more »

Prop. 17 -- a bit futher ahead

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Mercury Insurance, sad to say, is doing a bit better than PG&E; Prop. 17 has a 55-45 lead. But other than Marin, these are all fairly conservative counties reporting. In Marin, both PG&E and Mercury are getting hammered. If that pattern stays true in San Francisco, Los Angeles, San Jose and Sacramento, then these corporate scams may be in trouble.