New mumbers: Mirkarimi, Avalos surge


The next round of numbers are in, and the first clear trend is the Ross Mirkarimi is surging. Mirkarimi is 36 percent, to 28 percent for Miyamoto -- but when you back out the absentee vote, he's getting 45 percent of the election-day votes. Cunnie is going to finish second. If turnout is good, Mirkarimi's in very good shape.

The mayor's race is tightening up quite a bit, but Lee is still well ahead. He's at 33 percent with Avalos at 16 percent -- but here's what's interesting. In the election day (non absentee) votes, Avalos has gained 11,416 votes; Lee has gained 14,225. So in terms of the election day turnout, Avalos is only a few thousand votes behind.

Herrera, in third, has picked up 5,640 votes on election day.

So right now it looks like Lee first, Avalos second -- and if Lee finishes with more than 30 percent, it's going to be hard for anyone to catch him.


That's what I love about IRV, its still anybody's horse could come from behind and win.

Posted by Jerry Jarvis on Nov. 08, 2011 @ 10:05 pm
Posted by Guest on Nov. 08, 2011 @ 10:19 pm

Who will Ed Lee select to sit in Ross Mirkarimi's supervisors chair. This situation should be very interesting and I'm sure that Willie Brown will be there to offer his advise.

Posted by Guest on Nov. 09, 2011 @ 9:37 am