The tobacco companies spent very, very heavily in Southern California to defeat Prop. 29, and as more results come in, it's clear that the tens of millions of dollars worth of misleading TV ads had an impact. The numbers are now very, very close. With 15 percent of the vote in, it's 50.3 Yes, 49.7 No. Still mostly conservative areas; LA and San Francisco aren't in the mix yet, and only half of Sacramento's been counted. Still: This is way, way closer than I thought it would be.