Politics Blog

City Hall: Projections at this point


The early absentees tell us a few things, and Chris Bowman, a GOP consulant who is generally right on his projections, gave us his hit, and here's how it looks:

Prop. A, the parcel tax for schools, is going to be very close; it's at 60 percent now and that will be a squeaker.

F and G are over. F lost, G won.

Sandoval may come in first, or at worst a close second, and that race will go to a November runoff.

Prop. Read more »

City Hall -- correction, Sandoval TRAILING


Whoops, read that one wrong. Gerardo Sandoval is at 37.09 and Thomas Mellon is at 48.04, with Mary Mallen at 14.44. So Sandoval is behind. But since his numbers will rise and Mellon's will fall as the election-day results come in, it looks like a November runoff between the two.

City Hall: DCCC results


Remember, these are early absentees, but here's who's winning at the DCCC right now in District 13:

Leslie Katz
David Chiu
David Campos
Laura Spanjian
Aaron Peskin
Scott Wiener
Robert Haaland
Rafael Mandelman
Holli Their
Debra Walker
Michael Goldstein
Joe Julian

So far, it's most incumbents and the progressive "slate" isn't exactly winning. Chris Daly, for example, hasn't even made the cut. But the night is young and that will probably change.

City Hall: Absentee results


Well, the minute we posted that last entry we got some absentee results -- and it looks like Lennar's money carried the day. Prop. G is winning handily, Prop. F is going down hard.

But there's fascinating news: Prop. E, the PUC reform measure that PG&E spent a fortune trying to kill, is ahead even in the absentees and will probably win.

Gerardo Sandoval is well ahead in the judicial race, but there may still be a runoff.

Leno is beating Migden handily in the city, and Joe Nation is way behind. Read more »

City Hall: Props F and G


Talking to Jim Stearns, one of the political consultants involved in what now will be the most expensive ballot campaign ever, I got an interesting perspective on G and F. Stearns says all the polling showed the measures moving together -- when the campaign pushed Yes on G, the Yes on F vote moved up, too. When they tried to trash Prop. F, the Prop. G vote went down.

So it's entirely possible that both measures will pass -- which will, of course, infuriate Lennar Corp.

City Hall, 7:40: VERY quiet


It's very, very quiet here at City Hall, unusually quiet even for what's expected to be a low-turnout election. My sources say turnout on the west side of town is very, very low, which might not be such a bad thing .... but overeall, I'm nervous

Cal-ISO totally changes tune on power plants


Oh my. For all you folks that have been following the controversy around building new power plants in San Francisco, it just got even better.

Mayor Gavin Newsom sent a letter to the Board of Supervisors today outlining a “more promising way forward than the current proposal” to build two natural gas-burning “peaking” power plants in the city.

The way forward: retrofit three existing diesel turbines at the Mirant-Potrero Power Plant, while at the same time shutting down Unit 3, the most polluting part of the power plant, as soon as the Transbay Cable comes online. Read more »

Lennar spending records sums on Prop. G


Tonight's election results will demonstrate how much money matters in local politics, and whether megadeveloper Lennar is able to essentially buy exclusive development rights for southeast San Francisco. That's because the $3.9 million and counting that Lennar has spent to approve Prop. G and kill Prop. F could be the most expensive local measure campaign in California history, according to former Common Cause of SF head Charles Marsteller.
To confirm that, I called Bob Stern at the Center for Governmental Studies -- the guru of California electoral reform -- who had a more qualified answer. Read more »

Come on, vote, dammit


The Chronicle reports that turnout so far is really slow. That's bad for saving rent control (No on 98), stopping Lennar Corp. (no on G), electing a progresive judge (Sandoval) and stopping Joe Nation from becoming the next state Senator.

If you're reading this, go vote. Read more »

Election night parties


Here's a roundup of the main local election night parties:
Yes on A – Great American Music Hall, O’Farrell and Polk streets

Yes on F, No on G – Grace Tabernacle Church, 1121 Oakdale

Yes on G, No on F – Javalencia Café, 3900 3rd Street

Mark Leno – Campaign HQ, 1344 Fourth Street (at "D" Street)
San Rafael, CA 94901 (he might also stop by Lime, 2247 Market Street, where some DCCC candidates – including Laura Spanjian and David Campos – are having a party)

Carole Migden – Campaign HQ, 121 9th St., near Minna

Joe Nation – Wipeout Bar and Grill, 302 BonAir Center, Greenbrae

Fiona Ma for Ass Read more »